MCTlive! Lock Volume Indices: October 2022 Data
SAN DIEGO, Calif., Nov. 3, 2022 (SEND2PRESS NEWSWIRE) — MCT®, the leader in capital markets software and services supporting more lenders with hedging and pipeline management solutions than any other single provider, is pleased to present the MCTlive! Lock Volume Indices for October 2022. MCT Data represents a balanced cross section of several hundred lenders among retail, correspondent, wholesale, and consumer direct channels. A broad-based view of the entire market provides a more accurate picture of mortgage originations versus indices that are influenced by mega lenders. The October MCTlive! Lock Volume Indices is broken out by transaction type: purchase, rate/term refinance, and cash out refinance.
October MCTlive! Lock Volume Indices show that year-over-year total lock volume (-60.4 percent) continues to drop, as expected, when compared to the white-hot summer of 2021. While last month saw both the month-over-month rate/term refinance lock figure and purchase index increase, those figures were down 28.9 percent and 15.8 percent, respectively. Total mortgage rate locks by dollar volume decreased 17.1 percent month-over-month in October. Cash out refinances are down 27.6 percent month-over-month and from one year ago volume is down 87.2 percent, while rate/term refinance volume has dropped 93.2 percent from 2021. Please note that loan sizes were up 8.3 percent over the past year, with the average loan amount increasing from $292k to $317k.
It is important to note that MCT’s rate lock activity indices are based on actual dollar volume of locked loans, not number of applications. Especially in a tight purchase market, MCT believes its methodology (using actual loans locked vs. applications) is a more reliable metric. There is a higher likelihood of having multiple applications per funded loan, and prequals do not convert at as high of a rate in the current market as has historically been the case – especially when applications are counted at the early stage of entering a property address.
Figure 1: Lock volume for October 2022 broken out by transaction type
INDEX VALUES TO END OCTOBER AS A PERCENTAGE BENCHMARKED TO THE START OF THE MONTH
Category | Month-Over-Month Index Value Change
Rate/Term Refinance: -28.92%
Cash Out Refinance: -27.57%
Figure 2: Year-over-year indexed lock volume
INDEX VALUE CHANGE YEAR-OVER-YEAR
Category | Year-Over-Year Index Value Change
Rate/Term Refinance: -93.20%
Cash Out Refinance: -87.21%
MCT will be publishing the MCTlive! Mortgage Lock Volume Indices monthly, intending the data to serve as an enduring informational tool for industry participants, analysts, and watchers.
Founded in 2001, Mortgage Capital Trading, Inc. (MCT)® has grown from a boutique mortgage pipeline hedging firm into the industry’s leading provider of fully integrated capital markets services and technology. MCT’s offerings include mortgage pipeline hedging, best execution loan sales, business intelligence and analytics, outsourced lock desk solutions, MSR valuation, hedging, and bulk sales, and the world’s first, truly open marketplace for loan sales. MCT supports independent mortgage bankers, depositories, credit unions, warehouse lenders, and correspondent investors of all sizes within its award-winning digital platform, MCTlive!®. Headquartered in sunny San Diego, MCT also has offices in Healdsburg, CA, Philadelphia, PA and Texas.
For more information, visit https://mct-trading.com/.
News Source: Mortgage Capital Trading Inc.